Short Bio
I
am an economist at the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. My research focuses on the implications of
changes in international trade policy for individuals,
firms, and regions. Prior
to beginning my graduate studies, I worked in the private
sector, advising domestic and foreign firms involved in
antidumping and safeguard investigations.
This is a personal website. Any results or conclusions
in the research presented on this website are my own and do
not necessarily represent the views of the Federal Reserve
System.
You can also visit my official
website and my Google
Scholar page.
Employment
2016 - Present Principal Economist,
Federal Reserve Board of
Governors
2014 - 2016 Senior Economist,
Federal Reserve Board of
Governors
2011 - 2014 Economist,
Federal Reserve Board of
Governors
2009 - 2011 Economist,
Center for Economic Studies,
U.S. Census Bureau
2001 - 2003
Economic Analyst,
Georgetown
Economic Services, LLC
Visiting Positions
2018
Visiting Academic,
University of Oxford,
Department of Economics
Affiliations
Member,
Conference on
Research in Income and Wealth
Special Sworn Status Researcher,
U.S. Census Bureau
Education
2009 Ph.D., Economics, Georgetown University
2005 M.A., Economics, Georgetown University
2001 B.A., Economics, International Affairs, The
George Washington University
Working Papers
Disentangling
the Effects of the 2018-2019 Tariffs on a Globally
Connected U.S. Manufacturing Sector. 2020.
Joint with
Aaron
Flaaen. Working Paper Version (2019):
Finance
and Economics Discussion Series 2019-086. Washington:
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System.
Did Trade Liberalization
with China Influence U.S. Elections? 2020.
Joint with Yi Che, Yi Lu, Peter Schott and Zhigang Tao.
NBER Working Paper
WP22178.
Trade
Policy Uncertainty and the Structure of Supply Chains.
2017. Joint with
Sebastian
Heise,
Georg
Schaur and
Peter Schott.
Evidence
for the Effects of Mergers on Market Power and Efficiency.
2016. Joint with
Bruce Blonigen.
NBER Working Paper
WP22750.
Trade
Liberalization and International Sourcing of Inputs. 2012.
Publications
Trade
Liberalization and Mortality: Evidence from U.S. Counties.
2020.
American Economic Review: Insights 2(1): pp.
47-64. Joint with
Peter Schott.
NBER Working Paper
WP22849.
Investment
Responses to Trade Liberalization: Evidence from U.S.
Industries and Establishments. 2018.
Journal of
International Economics 115: pp. 203-222. Joint with
Peter Schott.
NBER Working Paper
WP24071.
New
Perspectives on the Decline of U.S. Manufacturing Employment.
2018.
Journal of Economic Perspectives 32(2): pp.
47-72. Joint with
Teresa
Fort and
Peter
Schott. NBER Working Paper
WP24490.
The
Surprisingly Swift Decline of U.S. Manufacturing Employment.
2016.
American Economic Review 106(7): pp.
1632-1662. This is a revised version of NBER Working Paper
WP18655.
Published
version and appendix. Joint with
Peter Schott.
Antidumping Duties and
Plant-Level Restructuring. 2013.
Review of Industrial
Organization 42 (4): pp. 435-447. Invited
Submission. The published version is available
here.
Are All Trade
Protection Policies Created Equal? Empirical Evidence for
Nonequivalent Market Power Effects of Tariffs and Quotas.
2013.
Journal of
International Economics 89 (2): pp. 369-378. NBER
Working Paper (
WP16391).
Joint with
Bruce
Blonigen,
Benjamin
Liebman and
Wesley
Wilson. The published version is available
here.
A Concordance
Between U.S. Harmonized System Codes and SIC/NAICS Product
Classes and Industries. 2012.
Journal of Economic and Social Measurement
37(1-2): pp. 61-96. NBER Working Paper
WP15548.
Joint with
Peter
Schott.
Data Appendix.
Concording U.S.
Harmonized System Codes Over Time. 2012. Journal of Official Statistics 28 (1):
pp. 53-68. NBER Working Paper
WP14837.
Joint with
Peter
Schott.
Data
Appendix.
Plant-Level Responses
to Antidumping Duties: Evidence from U.S. Manufacturers. 2011. Journal of International
Economics. 85 (2): pp.
222-233. The published version is available
here.
Applied and Other
Research
The
Evolution of U.S. Manufacturing. 2020. VoxEU. Joint with
Fort and Schott.
Trade
Policy Uncertainty May Affect the Organization of Firms'
Supply Chains. 2019. Liberty Street Economics, Federal
Reserve Bank of New York. Joint with Sebastian Heise,
Georg Schaur, and Peter Schott.
The
Costs of US Trade Liberalisation with China Have Been Acute
for Some Workers. 2019. In Meredith Crowley (Ed.),
Trade
War: The Clash of Economic Systems Threatening Global
Prosperity, CEPR Press. Joint with Peter Schott.
US
Manufacturing Jobs and Trade Liberalization with China.
2018.
Microeconomic
Insights. Joint with Peter Schott.
Some
Characteristics of the Decline in Manufacturing Capacity
Utilization. 2018. FEDS Notes. Washington: Board of
Governors of the Federal Reserve System, March 1, 2018,
https://doi.org/10.17016/2380-7172.2162. Joint with Emily
Wisniewski.
The
Distributional Consequences of US Trade Liberalization with
China. 2017. In Simon Evenett (Ed.),
Cloth
for Wine? The Relevance of Ricardo's Comparative Advantage
in the 21st Century, CEPR Press. Joint with
Peter Schott.
Making Sense of Africa's
Infrastructure Endowment: A Benchmarking Approach. 2009.
World Bank Policy Research Working Paper (
WBPS4912)
. Joint with Vivien
Foster and Tito Yepes.
Productive
Infrastructure and Logistics Services for Competitiveness.
2006. Joint with Tito Yepes. Chapter in
Infrastructure Service Provision
in El Salvador: Fighting Poverty, Resuming Growth.
Costa
Rica's
Infrastructure: Contributor or Bottleneck to Growth?
2006. Joint with Tito Yepes. Chapter in
Costa Rica Country Economic
Memorandum: The Challenges for Sustained Growth.
Keynote/Broad Topic Presentations
"Examining the Decline in U.S. Manufacturing Employment."
American University Mathematics and Statistics Colloquium
(2020.01.21)
"Examining the Decline in U.S. Manufacturing Employment."
Keynote Address, Federal Statistical Research Data Center Annual
Conference, Pennsylvania State University (2018.09.07)
"Trade Liberalization With a Developing Country: Effects and
Implications." Department of International Trade, United Kingdom
(2017.09.28)
Presentations by Paper
"Disentangling the Effects of the 2018-2019 Tariffs on a
Globally Engaged U.S. Manufacturing Sector" - Mid-Atlantic Trade
Workshop, Duke University (2019.11.02); Federal Reserve Board
(2020.05.06); International Trade Club of Chicago (2020.06.11);
Yale University (2020.10.28)
"Investment Responses to Trade Liberalization: Evidence from
U.S. Industries and Establishments" - NBER Trade and Labor
Markets Conference (2017.10.21); Center for Economic Studies
(2018.4.12); Washington Area International Trade Symposium
(2018.04.27); National Association of Realtors (2018.09.28)
"Trade Liberalization and Mortality: Evidence from U.S.
Counties" - Washington International Trade Group (2016.01.21);
The World Bank (2016.02.23); U.S. Centers for Disease Control
(2016.02.25); ERWIT Copenhagen (2016.06.01); College of William
and Mary (2016.09.16); Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
(2017.02.24); Tulane University (2017.03.10); Dartmouth College
(2017.05.23); University of Cambridge (2017.09.29); American
University (2018.01.29)
"Did Trade Liberalization with China Influence U.S. Elections?"
- CESifo Venice Summer Institute (2018.06.05); Indiana
University (2018.09.19); Georgia Tech (2019.03.29); Drexel
University (2019.04.26); Atlanta Trade Workshop (2019.12.07)
"Trade Policy and the Structure of Supply Chains" - University
of Oregon (2015.10.13); Inter American Development Bank
(2016.06.17); U.S. International Trade Commission (2020.01.30)
"Evidence for the Effect of Mergers and Acquisitions on Market
Power and Efficiency" - Stanford RDC Conference (2015.09.18);
Midwest Economic Association (2016.04.02); IIOC (2016.04.16);
Aarhus University (2016.11.29); U.S. Department of Justice
(2017.05.16); Federal Reserve System Applied Micro Conference,
San Francisco Fed (2019.05.17)
"The Surprisingly Swift Decline of U.S. Manufacturing
Employment" - Georgetown University (2014.10.24); Renmin
University of China (2014.04.25); Shanghai University of Finance
and Economics (2014.04.22); Syracuse University (2013.12.02);
University of Richmond (2013.11.18); Empirical Investigations in
International Trade, University of Virginia (2013.10.19);
Comparative Analysis of Enterprise Data (2013.09.18); NBER
Summer Institute - International Trade and Investment
(2013.07.11); CESifo Conference on the Economics of Firm
Exporting (2013.04.26); University of Hong Kong (2013.02.27);
U.S. International Trade Commission (2013.02.21); The George
Washington University (2013.02.12); Washington, DC International
Trade Research Group (2013.01.31); Southern Economic Association
(2011.11.21); Council of Economic Advisors, Executive Office of
the President (2011.07.07); Georgetown Center for Economic
Research (2011.06.02); Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis
(2011.05.13); Advances in International Trade: Trade Empirics
(2010.11.19); Center for Economic Studies (2010.10.21).
"Are All Trade Protection Policies Created Equal? Empirical
Evidence for Nonequivalent Market Power Effects for Tariffs and
Quotas" - University of Wisconsin Milwaukee (2012.04.27);
University of Wisconsin Whitewater (2012.04.25); University of
Virginia (2011.08.31); Southern Economic Association Meetings
(2010.11.21); Vassar College (2010.10.25); Midwest International
Trade and Theory Meetings (2010.09.17); Center for Economic
Studies (2010.04.01).
"Plant-Level Responses to Antidumping Duties: Evidence from U.S.
Manufacturers" - Shanghai University of Finance and Economics
(2014.04.24); Federal Reserve Board of Governors (2011.05.27);
Midwest Economic Association (2010.03.21); Comparative Analysis
of Enterprise Data Meetings (2009.10.02); Econometric Society
North American Summer Meetings (2009.06.04); Midwest
International Economics Group (2009.05.01); George Washington
University/World Bank Antidumping Conference (2009.04.09);
Georgetown University (2008.10.20); Center for Economic Studies
(2008.10.02).
Trade Liberalization and International Sourcing of Inputs -
Southern Economic Association (2012.11.16).